Research
Every research paper we have written up, newest paper first. New arrivals are screened automatically for topical fit with systematic trading; the ones that clear it are read, written up, and — where the idea is testable on our data — backtested. Particular focus on alpha hypotheses that can be formalised and tested. The Radar also covers portfolio construction, market risk and execution where the research is directly relevant to systematic investment processes. Follow new entries by RSS.
16,915 papers screened · 588 on the radar · 4 shown
This paper studies decision functionals under ambiguity when pure-risk evaluation is determined by a general, possibly non-affine statistic.
OUR BACKTEST · Sharpe 0.54 · Return +30.9% · Max DD -25.2%
Regime-switching multi-factor models are widely used in quantitative finance, but filtering does not by itself determine when an agent should act on inferred regime changes.
OUR BACKTEST · Sharpe 0.63 · Return +57.2% · Max DD -14.2%
Portfolio decisions are often made under uncertainty about expected returns, and investors revise their beliefs as new information arrives.
OUR BACKTEST · Sharpe 1.07 · Return +152.8% · Max DD -57.4%
In this paper we propose a new formulation of the Bayesian Filter as used in the discrete-time Markov-Switching-Multifractal (MSM) model of volatility based on existing permutation symmetry within the likelihood structure.
OUR BACKTEST · Sharpe 0.90 · Return +54.5% · Max DD -20.2%